Will electric/hybrid cars ever replace our cars?
Have you ever thought what type of cars your children will get to drive in twenty years from now? Well, there are many analysts that have concluded the fact that human kind will rely on electrically operated vehicles as a mean of transportation. Yet what makes these cars so special that they will get to replace all of the cars that we are now driving? Well, one of the main advantages they have is efficiency, as the director of automotive consulting for industry analyst Global Insight, Philip Gott said.
He mentioned that currently there are around eight hundred million cars on the planet and each year, there are seventy million more produced. He mentioned that if India and China along with the rest of the world will get to acquire as many cars as there are per capita in Europe, then there will be around three billion cars on Earth by the year of two thousand and thirty five. What's more is that if all of them will work on gas, then we would need several times the oil reserves currently available.
Comparing electric and hybrid cars: will they ever replace our cars?
Then Philip Gott turned back to the nineteen hundreds for a history lesson. In that year, the United State's car production was divided into thirds. There were thirty three percent cars that ran on gasoline, yet so did the steam and battery electric cars sum up to. In the end, everyone knows that the gasoline based cars won, for they didn't require any plugging in, they were easier to operate and more to that, they had increased speed. Yet in what regards the new century, there are 6 criteria that Gott presented in regards to the future power sources that vehicles should use:
- Ease of maintenance and monitoring (for optimal efficiency and low emissions)
- Ease of use
- Autonomous range
- Whole cycle thermal efficiency
- Diversity of energy sources
Considering all the factors exposed the battery electric vehicles actually stack up to having the best ratings across all of the 6 factors. The EV vehicles have an efficiency that rules supreme, with seventy percent of the battery's energy being converted into power, compared to just twenty five percent of the energy in gasoline (the rest of it is wasted away by friction & heat). When it comes to the coal powered power plants they are not that efficient and have a rating of just forty percent, but the good news is that the electric grid will improve in the next years, as the government is taking action in this regard and states mandates that restrict carbon and force renewable energy sources to be used.
More to that, the EVs don't really need to be monitored for emissions and electricity (their main fuel) can easily be generated from a wide array of sources and in a lot of locations. They are not only easier to use, but technology, as it advances, improves their range greatly. It doesn't mean that such changes will happen overnight or that present engine types will just disappear. As any great change, these will take decades until they will finally reign supreme. So if you're asking yourself of "electric and hybrid cars: will they ever replace our cars?", then the answer is yes, they will replace them, but in a far and distant future from now.